Rays vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 28th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will go up against the Tampa Bay Rays in MLB action on Saturday at Fenway Park, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Rays vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Red Sox have a 52% chance of beating the Rays.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Rays vs. Red Sox picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Rays vs. Red Sox Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, September 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Fenway Park
• Run Line: Rays -1.5 / Red Sox +1.5
• Moneyline: Rays +105 / Red Sox -120
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-110/-105)

Rays -1.5 @ +172 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Rays have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Rays have a probability of 37%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of +172 for the Rays -1.5, presenting a favorable 0.1% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis suggests a 62% likelihood of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 10%.

Rays vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Tampa Bay Rays at +105 via BetMGM, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at -120 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 52% chance of victory.

Even though the Red Sox are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +105 odds on the Rays moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Tampa Bay Rays Prediction - Ceddanne Rafaela To Get a Hit (-155)

• Our top prop bet for the Rays is on Ceddanne Rafaela to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.7%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the -155 odds offered by BetMGM.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Ceddanne Rafaela To Get a Hit (-155)

• Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Ceddanne Rafaela to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 74.7%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the -155 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Rays vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela to Hit a Home Run

Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 20 games (10% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Triston Casas to Record a Hit

Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 16 appearances (62%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -140 (58%), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ceddanne Rafaela of the Rays to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Rays -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Rays vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.