Rays vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 23rd Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will go up against the Tampa Bay Rays in MLB action on Sunday at PNC Park, beginning at 1:35 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Rays vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Pirates have a 62% chance of defeating the Rays.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Rays vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Rays vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Rays vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, June 23rd, 2024
• Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Rays +1.5 / Pirates -1.5
• Moneyline: Rays +142 / Pirates -165
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-115/+102)

Pirates -1.5 @ +130 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Pirates have a probability of 43%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +130.

Total Runs Under 7.5 @ +102 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at +102.
• Our analysis indicates a 48% chance of the 7.5-run total staying under, which presents greater value compared to betting on the over.

Rays vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Tampa Bay Rays at +142 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -165 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 62% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Pirates also present the best betting value, with the odds of -165 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Rays vs. Pirates

Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Rays vs. Pirates game.

Tampa Bay Rays Prediction - Aaron Civale Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+114)

• Our top prop bet for the Rays is on Aaron Civale to record under 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 60.2%, giving us an edge of 13.4% the +114 odds offered by FanDuel.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Jack Suwinski To Get a Hit (-120)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Jack Suwinski to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 66.6%, giving us an edge of 12.0% on the -120 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Rays vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Rays vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Ben Rortvedt to Record an RBI

Ben Rortvedt has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +330 (23% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jose Siri to Record an RBI

Jose Siri has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 22 appearances (45%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +250 (29%), also available at DraftKings.

Jack Suwinski to Record an RBI

Jack Suwinski has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 14 games (36%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +215 (32%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Aaron Civale of the Rays to record under 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Pirates -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Rays vs. Pirates predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.