Rays vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 22nd Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the Tampa Bay Rays in MLB action on Saturday at PNC Park, beginning at 4:05 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Rays vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Pirates have a 54% chance of defeating the Rays.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Rays vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Rays vs. Pirates picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Rays vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, June 22nd, 2024
• Game Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Rays -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Rays -104 / Pirates -105
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-110/-102)

Pirates +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Rays have a probability of 35%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -175 for the Pirates +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.6% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -102.
• Our analysis indicates a slightly higher likelihood of the 8.5-run total staying under.

Rays vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Tampa Bay Rays at -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -105 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 54% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Pirates also present the best betting value, with the odds of -105 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 2.4%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Rays vs. Pirates

Here are the best MLB player props for Saturday's Rays vs. Pirates matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays Prediction - Zach Eflin Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (+115)

• Our top prop bet for the Rays is on Zach Eflin to record under 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 56.2%, giving us an edge of 9.7% over the +115 odds offered by BetMGM.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Jack Suwinski To Get a Hit (-125)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Jack Suwinski to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 69.3%, providing an edge of 13.7% on the -125 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Rays vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Rays vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Brandon Lowe to Record an RBI

Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 14 games (57% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +170 (37% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Isaac Paredes to Record a Hit

Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 11 appearances (82%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -220 (69%), also available at DraftKings.

Randy Arozarena to Record a Hit

Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 18 games (72%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -240 (71%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jack Suwinski of the Pirates to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Rays vs. Pirates predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.