Rays vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 11th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Tampa Bay Rays in MLB action on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Rays vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Phillies have a 65% chance of defeating the Rays.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Rays vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Rays vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Rays vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, September 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Rays +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Rays +200 / Phillies -230
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+102/-122)

Rays +1.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Rays have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 47%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -105 for the Rays +1.5, presenting a favorable 2.2% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ +102 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at +102.
• Our analysis shows a 57% probability that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 7.1%.

Rays vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Tampa Bay Rays at +200 via BetMGM, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -230 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 65% chance of coming out on top.

Although the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +200 odds on the Rays moneyline, providing an edge of 2.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Tampa Bay Rays Prediction - Shane Baz Under 15.5 Outs Recorded (-110)

• Our top prop bet for the Rays is on Shane Baz to record under 15.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.8%, giving us an edge of 13.5% on the -110 odds offered by BetMGM.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Garrett Stubbs To Get a Hit (+105)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Garrett Stubbs to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.7%, providing an edge of 14.0% on the +105 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Rays vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Rays vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Bryson Stott to Hit a Home Run

Bryson Stott has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 11 appearances (18% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +700 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Garrett Stubbs of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Rays +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Rays vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.