Pirates vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 14th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will host the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Wednesday at PETCO Park, beginning at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Pirates vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Padres have a 59% chance of beating the Pirates.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Pirates vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Pirates vs. Padres picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Pirates vs. Padres Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, August 14th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: PETCO Park
• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 / Padres -1.5
• Moneyline: Pirates +120 / Padres -135
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (+100/-112)

Padres -1.5 @ +155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +155 for the Padres -1.5, presenting a favorable 0.3% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -112.
• Our analysis indicates a 53% likelihood that the total will stay under 8.5 runs, providing an edge of 0.4%.

Pirates vs. Padres Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -135 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Padres present the best betting value, with the odds of -135 available at BetMGM for an edge of 1.7%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Padres

Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Pirates vs. Padres game.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Mitch Keller Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+125)

• Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Mitch Keller to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 50.6%, providing an edge of 6.2% over the +125 odds offered by BetMGM.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Luis Campusano To Get a Hit (-190)

• Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Luis Campusano to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 77.8%, giving us an edge of 12.3% on the -190 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Pirates vs. Padres Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Pirates vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

David Peralta to Hit a Home Run

David Peralta has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +850 (11% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Campusano of the Padres to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Padres -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Pirates vs. Padres predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.