Pirates vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 12th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will host the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Monday at PETCO Park, beginning at 9:40 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Pirates vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 66% chance of beating the Pirates.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Pirates vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Pirates vs. Padres picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Pirates vs. Padres Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, August 12th, 2024
• Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PETCO Park
• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 / Padres -1.5
• Moneyline: Pirates +170 / Padres -200
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (+100/-118)

Pirates +1.5 @ -122 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 47%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -122.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -118.
• Our analysis suggests a 53% probability of the 8.5-run total staying under.

Pirates vs. Padres Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -200 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 66% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Padres also present the best betting value, with the odds of -200 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Padres

Here are the best MLB player props for Monday's Pirates vs. Padres matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Marco Gonzales Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-140)

• Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Marco Gonzales to record under 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.1%, giving us an edge of 9.8% the -140 odds offered by BetMGM.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Kyle Higashioka To Get a Hit (-145)

• Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Kyle Higashioka to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.1%, providing an edge of 13.9% on the -145 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Pirates vs. Padres Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Pirates vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa to Hit a Home Run

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 16 appearances (12% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +1300 (7% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Xander Bogaerts to Record a Hit

Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 19 appearances (84%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -245 (71%), also available at DraftKings.

Ke'Bryan Hayes to Hit a Home Run

Ke'Bryan Hayes has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 games (10%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +950 (10%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kyle Higashioka of the Padres to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Pirates vs. Padres predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.