Pirates vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 31st Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Saturday at Progressive Field, beginning at 6:10 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Pirates vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Guardians have a 65% chance of defeating the Pirates.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Pirates vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Pirates vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Pirates vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, August 31st, 2024
• Game Time: 6:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 / Guardians -1.5
• Moneyline: Pirates +170 / Guardians -190
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-105/-105)

Guardians -1.5 @ +110 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 46%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +110.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis suggests a 52% chance of the 8.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.9%.

Pirates vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -190 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 65% chance of victory.

Additionally, the Guardians present the best betting value, with the odds of -190 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Guardians

Here are the best MLB player props for Saturday's Pirates vs. Guardians game.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Luis Ortiz Under 16.5 Outs Recorded (-115)

• Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Luis Ortiz to record under 16.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 66.7%, giving us an edge of 13.3% on the -115 odds offered by BetMGM.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Brayan Rocchio To Get a Hit (-150)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Brayan Rocchio to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.6%, providing an edge of 13.6% on the -150 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Pirates vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Pirates vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jared Triolo to Hit a Home Run

Jared Triolo has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 12 games (17% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.

David Fry to Hit a Home Run

David Fry has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 19 games (21%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +700 (12%), also available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Brayan Rocchio of the Guardians to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Guardians -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Pirates vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.