Pirates vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 30th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will go up against the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Friday at Progressive Field, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Pirates vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Guardians have a 59% chance of beating the Pirates.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Pirates vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Pirates vs. Guardians picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Pirates vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, August 30th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 / Guardians -1.5
• Moneyline: Pirates +130 / Guardians -148
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-120/+102)

Guardians -1.5 @ +145 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 41%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +145 for the Guardians -1.5, presenting a favorable 0% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -120 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -120.
• Our analysis shows a 54% chance that the total will go over 8.5 runs.

Pirates vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at +130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -148 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of victory.

Additionally, the Guardians present the best betting value, with the odds of -148 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Guardians

Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Pirates vs. Guardians game.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Bailey Falter Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-105)

• Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Bailey Falter to record under 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 57.3%, giving us an edge of 6.0% on the -105 odds offered by DraftKings.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Ben Lively Over 2.5 Earned Runs (-130)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Ben Lively to have over 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.2%, giving us an edge of 13.6% on the -130 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Pirates vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Pirates vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Yasmani Grandal to Hit a Home Run

Yasmani Grandal has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +700 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Bryan De La Cruz to Record a Hit

Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 14 games (79%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -205 (67%), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ben Lively of the Guardians to record over 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 13.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Guardians -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Pirates vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.