Pirates vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 1st Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will go up against the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Sunday at Progressive Field, starting at 1:40 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Pirates vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Guardians have a 60% chance of defeating the Pirates.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Pirates vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Pirates vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Pirates vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, September 1st, 2024
• Game Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 / Guardians -1.5
• Moneyline: Pirates +136 / Guardians -155
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-110/-105)

Guardians -1.5 @ +150 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 41%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +150 for the Guardians -1.5, providing a favorable 0.7% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis shows a 54% probability of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 2.1%.

Pirates vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at +136 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -155 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Guardians present the best betting value, with the odds of -155 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Guardians

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Pirates vs. Guardians game.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Mitch Keller Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-120)

• Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Mitch Keller to record under 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 63.2%, giving us an edge of 8.7% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Alex Cobb Over 1.5 Earned Runs (-145)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Alex Cobb to have over 1.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.9%, giving us an edge of 12.7% on the -145 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Pirates vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Pirates vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Andrew McCutchen to Hit a Home Run

Andrew McCutchen has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +700 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Alex Cobb of the Guardians to record over 1.5 earned runs, with an edge of 12.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Guardians -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Pirates vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.