Pirates vs. Dodgers Picks & Best Bets 11th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Sunday at Dodger Stadium, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Pirates vs. Dodgers bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Dodgers have a 72% chance of defeating the Pirates.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Pirates vs. Dodgers Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Pirates vs. Dodgers picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Pirates vs. Dodgers Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, August 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Dodger Stadium
• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 / Dodgers -1.5
• Moneyline: Pirates +220 / Dodgers -270
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-108/-110)

Pirates +1.5 @ +110 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Pirates have a probability of 47%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +110.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -110.
• Our analysis suggests a 52% chance that the total will stay under 8.5 runs, providing an edge of 0.1%.

Pirates vs. Dodgers Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at +220 via BetMGM, whilst the Los Angeles Dodgers are available at -270 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Dodgers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 72% chance of prevailing.

Additionally, the Dodgers present the best betting value, with the odds of -270 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Dodgers

Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Pirates vs. Dodgers game.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Bailey Falter Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-175)

• Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Bailey Falter to record under 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.6%, giving us an edge of 13.0% over the -175 odds offered by DraftKings.

Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction - Tyler Glasnow Over 8.5 Strikeouts (+110)

• Our best prop bet for the Dodgers is on Tyler Glasnow to have over 8.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 61.0%, giving us an edge of 13.4% on the +110 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Pirates vs. Dodgers Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Pirates vs. Dodgers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Gavin Lux to Hit a Home Run

Gavin Lux has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 24 games (17% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tyler Glasnow of the Dodgers to record over 8.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Pirates vs. Dodgers predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.