Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Best Bets 28th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Sunday at Chase Field, beginning at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Pirates vs. Diamondbacks bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Diamondbacks have a 55% chance of beating the Pirates.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Pirates vs. Diamondbacks picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, July 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Chase Field
• Run Line: Pirates -1.5 / Diamondbacks +1.5
• Moneyline: Pirates -102 / Diamondbacks -110
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-102/-118)

Diamondbacks +1.5 @ -184 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Diamondbacks have a 67% chance of covering the run line, while the Pirates have a probability of 33%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -184 for the Diamondbacks +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.8% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -102.
• Our analysis suggests a slightly higher probability of the 8.5-run total going over.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Arizona Diamondbacks are available at -110 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Diamondbacks are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 55% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Diamondbacks also present the best betting value, with the odds of -110 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 2.7%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Diamondbacks

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Pirates vs. Diamondbacks game.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Mitch Keller Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-165)

• Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Mitch Keller to record under 18.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.8%, providing an edge of 5.6% the -165 odds offered by BetMGM.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Kevin Newman To Get a Hit (-195)

• Our best prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Kevin Newman to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 78.5%, giving us an edge of 12.4% on the -195 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Pirates vs. Diamondbacks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Corbin Carroll to Record an RBI

Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 14 games (50% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +230 (30% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Eugenio Suárez to Record an RBI

Eugenio Suárez has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 14 appearances (57%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +175 (36%), also available at DraftKings.

Jose Herrera to Record an RBI

Jose Herrera has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +370 (21%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kevin Newman of the D-Backs to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Diamondbacks +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Pirates vs. Diamondbacks predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.