Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Best Bets 26th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Friday at Chase Field, starting at 9:40 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Pirates vs. Diamondbacks bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Diamondbacks have a 62% chance of beating the Pirates.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Pirates vs. Diamondbacks picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, July 26th, 2024
- Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Field
- Run Line: Pirates +1.5 / Diamondbacks -1.5
- Moneyline: Pirates +145 / Diamondbacks -166
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (+102/-115)
Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +128 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Diamondbacks have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Diamondbacks have a probability of 43%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +128.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ +102 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at +102.
- Our analysis suggests a 51% chance of the 8.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 1.2%.
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at +145 via BetMGM, whilst the Arizona Diamondbacks are available at -166 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Diamondbacks are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 62% chance of victory.
Additionally, the Diamondbacks present the best betting value, with the odds of -166 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Diamondbacks
Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Pirates vs. Diamondbacks game.
Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Rowdy Tellez To Get a HR (+900)
- Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Rowdy Tellez to hit a home run.
- Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 14.9% of going yard, providing an edge of 4.9% on the +900 odds offered by BetMGM.
Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Alek Thomas To Get a Hit (-180)
- Our best prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Alek Thomas to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 75.8%, giving us an edge of 11.5% on the -180 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Pirates vs. Diamondbacks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Eugenio Suárez to Record an RBI
Eugenio Suárez has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 12 games (67% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +200 (33% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Oneil Cruz to Record a Hit
Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 15 games (73%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -225 (69%), also available at DraftKings.
Geraldo Perdomo to Record an RBI
Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 20 games (35%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +280 (26%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Alek Thomas of the D-Backs to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Diamondbacks -1.5 to cover.
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