Pirates vs. Brewers Picks & Best Bets 9th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Tuesday at American Family Field, beginning at 8:10 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Pirates vs. Brewers bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Brewers have a 57% chance of defeating the Pirates.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Pirates vs. Brewers Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Pirates vs. Brewers picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Pirates vs. Brewers Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, July 9th, 2024
• Game Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Location: American Family Field
• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 / Brewers -1.5
• Moneyline: Pirates +140 / Brewers -162
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-105/-110)

Pirates +1.5 @ -145 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Brewers have a probability of 39%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -145 for the Pirates +1.5, providing a favorable 1.7% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -110.
• Our analysis suggests a 51% chance that the total will stay under 8.5 runs.

Pirates vs. Brewers Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at +140 via BetMGM, whilst the Milwaukee Brewers are available at -162 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Brewers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 57% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Brewers are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +140 odds on the Pirates moneyline, providing an edge of 1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Brewers

Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Pirates vs. Brewers game.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Rowdy Tellez To Get a HR (+725)

• Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Rowdy Tellez to hit a home run.
• Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 16.5% of going yard, providing an edge of 4.3% on the +725 odds offered by BetMGM.

Milwaukee Brewers Prediction - Colin Rea Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+120)

• Our best prop bet for the Brewers is on Colin Rea to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 59.2%, providing an edge of 13.7% on the +120 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Pirates vs. Brewers Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Pirates vs. Brewers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Sal Frelick to Record an RBI

Sal Frelick has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 12 appearances (33% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +225 (31% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Blake Perkins to Record a Hit

Blake Perkins has recorded at least one hit in 7 of his last 10 games (70%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -175 (64%), also available at DraftKings.

Josh Palacios to Hit a Home Run

Josh Palacios has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 14 games (21%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +500 (17%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Colin Rea of the Brewers to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 13.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Pirates vs. Brewers predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.