Pirates vs. Brewers Picks & Best Bets 11th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Thursday at American Family Field, beginning at 2:10 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Pirates vs. Brewers bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Pirates have a 53% chance of defeating the Brewers.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Pirates vs. Brewers Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Pirates vs. Brewers picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Pirates vs. Brewers Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, July 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
• Location: American Family Field
• Run Line: Pirates -1.5 / Brewers +1.5
• Moneyline: Pirates -120 / Brewers +105
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+100/-105)

Pirates -1.5 @ +140 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Pirates have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +140.

Total Runs Under 7.5 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
• Our analysis shows a 52% likelihood of the 7.5-run total staying under, providing an edge of 0.6%.

Pirates vs. Brewers Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at -120 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Milwaukee Brewers are available at +105 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Pirates present the best betting value, with the odds of -120 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Brewers

Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Pirates vs. Brewers game.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Jack Suwinski To Get a Hit (-110)

• Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Jack Suwinski to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 60.0%, providing an edge of 7.6% on the -110 odds offered by BetMGM.

Milwaukee Brewers Prediction - Aaron Civale Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+104)

• Our best prop bet for the Brewers is on Aaron Civale to have under 5.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 59.3%, providing an edge of 10.3% on the +104 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Pirates vs. Brewers Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Pirates vs. Brewers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Bryan Reynolds to Record an RBI

Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 19 appearances (53% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +190 (34% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Brice Turang to Record an RBI

Brice Turang has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 19 games (37%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +300 (25%), also available at DraftKings.

Andruw Monasterio to Record an RBI

Andruw Monasterio has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 18 games (33%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +300 (25%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Aaron Civale of the Brewers to record under 5.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 10.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Pirates -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Pirates vs. Brewers predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.