Pirates vs. Braves Picks & Best Bets 30th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Atlanta Braves will go up against the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Sunday at Truist Park, beginning at 11:35 a.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Pirates vs. Braves bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Braves have a 62% chance of defeating the Pirates.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Pirates vs. Braves Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Pirates vs. Braves picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Pirates vs. Braves Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, June 30th, 2024
- Game Time: 11:35 a.m. ET
- Location: Truist Park
- Run Line: Pirates +1.5 / Braves -1.5
- Moneyline: Pirates +166 / Braves -198
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-108/-110)
Pirates +1.5 @ -120 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Braves have a probability of 45%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -120 for the Pirates +1.5, providing a favorable 0.6% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 9 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -108.
- Our analysis indicates a 57% likelihood of the 9-run total going over, providing an edge of 5.6%.
Pirates vs. Braves Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at +166 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Atlanta Braves are available at -198 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Braves are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 62% chance of victory.
Although the Braves are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +166 odds on the Pirates moneyline, providing an edge of 0.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Braves
Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Pirates vs. Braves game.
Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Bailey Falter Under 3.5 Earned Runs (-145)
- Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Bailey Falter to record under 3.5 earned runs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 71.5%, giving us an edge of 12.3% over the -145 odds offered by BetMGM.
Atlanta Braves Prediction - Luke Williams To Get a Hit (-155)
- Our best prop bet for the Braves is on Luke Williams to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 74.6%, providing an edge of 13.8% on the -155 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Pirates vs. Braves Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Pirates vs. Braves trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jarred Kelenic to Record a Hit
Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 16 appearances (88% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -225 (69% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Jack Suwinski to Record an RBI
Jack Suwinski has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 13 games (31%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +285 (26%), also available at DraftKings.
Joey Bart to Record a Hit
Joey Bart has recorded at least one hit in 6 of his last 10 appearances (60%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -140 (58%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luke Williams of the Braves to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Pirates vs. Braves predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.