Pirates vs. Braves Picks & Best Bets 28th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Atlanta Braves will go up against the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Friday at Truist Park, starting at 7:20 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Pirates vs. Braves bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Braves have a 63% chance of beating the Pirates.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Pirates vs. Braves Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Pirates vs. Braves picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Pirates vs. Braves Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, June 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
• Location: Truist Park
• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 / Braves -1.5
• Moneyline: Pirates +180 / Braves -190
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-105/-110)

Pirates +1.5 @ -111 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Braves have a probability of 45%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -111 for the Pirates +1.5, providing a favorable 2.3% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis suggests a 56% likelihood of the 9-run total going over, providing an edge of 4.3%.

Pirates vs. Braves Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at +180 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Atlanta Braves are available at -190 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Braves are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 63% chance of coming out on top.

Although the Braves are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +180 odds on the Pirates moneyline, providing an edge of 1.7%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Braves

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Pirates vs. Braves matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Jack Suwinski To Get a HR (+850)

• Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Jack Suwinski to hit a home run.
• Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 13.9% of going yard, providing an edge of 3.4% over the +850 odds offered by BetMGM.

Atlanta Braves Prediction - Charlie Morton Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+115)

• Our best prop bet for the Braves is on Charlie Morton to have over 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 56.2%, giving us an edge of 9.7% on the +115 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Pirates vs. Braves Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Pirates vs. Braves trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Bryan Reynolds to Record an RBI

Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 10 appearances (70% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +195 (34% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Ozzie Albies to Record an RBI

Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 12 appearances (50%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +165 (38%), also available at DraftKings.

Ramón Laureano to Record an RBI

Ramón Laureano has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +190 (34%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Charlie Morton of the Braves to record over 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 9.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Pirates vs. Braves predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.