Pirates vs. Astros Picks & Best Bets 30th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Houston Astros will host the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Tuesday at Minute Maid Park, beginning at 8:10 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Pirates vs. Astros bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Astros have a 66% chance of beating the Pirates.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Pirates vs. Astros Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Pirates vs. Astros picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Pirates vs. Astros Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, July 30th, 2024
• Game Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Minute Maid Park
• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 / Astros -1.5
• Moneyline: Pirates +170 / Astros -190
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-102/-115)

Astros -1.5 @ +105 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Astros have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 47%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +105.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis indicates a 52% probability of the 8.5-run total staying under.

Pirates vs. Astros Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Houston Astros are available at -190 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Astros are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 66% chance of prevailing.

Additionally, the Astros present the best betting value, with the odds of -190 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.6%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Astros

Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Pirates vs. Astros game.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Bailey Falter Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-110)

• Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Bailey Falter to record under 4.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 59.6%, providing an edge of 7.3% the -110 odds offered by BetMGM.

Houston Astros Prediction - Yordan Alvarez To Get an RBI (+140)

• Our best prop bet for the Astros is on Yordan Alvarez to get an RBI.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 55.0%, giving us an edge of 13.3% on the +140 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Pirates vs. Astros Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Pirates vs. Astros trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jon Singleton to Record a Hit

Jon Singleton has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 22 games (73% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of -120 (55% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Alex Bregman to Record a Hit

Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 20 appearances (85%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -240 (71%), also available at DraftKings.

Jon Singleton to Hit a Home Run

Jon Singleton has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 24 appearances (12%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +750 (12%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Yordan Alvarez of the Astros to get an RBI as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Astros -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Pirates vs. Astros predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.