Pirates vs. Astros Picks & Best Bets 29th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Houston Astros will meet the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Monday at Minute Maid Park, beginning at 8:10 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Pirates vs. Astros bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Pirates have a 52% chance of beating the Astros.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Pirates vs. Astros Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Pirates vs. Astros picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Pirates vs. Astros Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, July 29th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Minute Maid Park
- Run Line: Pirates -1.5 / Astros +1.5
- Moneyline: Pirates -134 / Astros +115
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+104/-128)
Astros +1.5 @ -146 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Astros have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Pirates have a probability of 39%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -146 for the Astros +1.5, providing a favorable 2.1% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ +104 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at +104.
- Our analysis shows a 48% chance of the 7.5-run total going over, which presents better value compared to betting on the under.
Pirates vs. Astros Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Pirates at -134 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Houston Astros are available at +115 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 52% chance of prevailing.
Although the Pirates are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +115 odds on the Astros moneyline, providing an edge of 1.4%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Pirates vs. Astros
Here are the top MLB player props for Monday's Pirates vs. Astros game.
Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Paul Skenes Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+140)
- Our top prop bet for the Pirates is on Paul Skenes to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 49.5%, providing an edge of 7.9% over the +140 odds offered by BetMGM.
Houston Astros Prediction - Chas McCormick To Get a Hit (+115)
- Our best prop bet for the Astros is on Chas McCormick to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 55.9%, providing an edge of 9.4% on the +115 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Pirates vs. Astros Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Pirates vs. Astros trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Yainer Diaz to Record an RBI
Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 11 games (55% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +235 (30% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Victor Caratini to Record a Hit
Victor Caratini has recorded at least one hit in 8 of his last 10 games (80%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -115 (53%), also available at DraftKings.
Jon Singleton to Record a Hit
Jon Singleton has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 25 games (72%). You can wager on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Chas McCormick of the Astros to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Astros +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Pirates vs. Astros predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.