Phillies vs. Twins Picks & Best Bets 23rd Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Minnesota Twins will meet the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Tuesday at Target Field, beginning at 7:40 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Phillies vs. Twins bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Phillies have a 56% chance of defeating the Twins.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Phillies vs. Twins Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Phillies vs. Twins picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Phillies vs. Twins Game Information
- Game Date: Tuesday, July 23rd, 2024
- Game Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Field
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Twins +1.5
- Moneyline: Phillies -148 / Twins +126
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-105/-115)
Twins +1.5 @ -134 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Twins have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 43%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -134.
Total Runs Under 8 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -115.
- Our analysis suggests a 51% probability that the total will stay under 8 runs.
Phillies vs. Twins Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -148 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Minnesota Twins are available at +126 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +126 odds on the Twins moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Twins
Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Phillies vs. Twins matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Zack Wheeler Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
- Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Zack Wheeler to record under 17.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 55.9%, providing an edge of 11.5% the +125 odds offered by BetMGM.
Minnesota Twins Prediction - Simeon Woods Richardson Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105)
- Our best prop bet for the Twins is on Simeon Woods Richardson to have under 4.5 strikeouts.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 60.2%, providing an edge of 9.0% on the -105 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Phillies vs. Twins Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Phillies vs. Twins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Brooks Lee to Record an RBI
Brooks Lee has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 14 games (50% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +265 (27% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Matt Wallner to Record a Hit
Matt Wallner has recorded at least one hit in 7 of his last 10 games (70%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of +120 (45%), also available at DraftKings.
Christian Vázquez to Record an RBI
Christian Vázquez has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +350 (22%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Zack Wheeler of the Phillies to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 11.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Twins +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Phillies vs. Twins predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.