Phillies vs. Twins Picks & Best Bets 22nd Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Minnesota Twins will host the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Monday at Target Field, starting at 7:40 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Phillies vs. Twins bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that this game could go down to the wire, with both the Phillies and Twins having a 50% probability of winning.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Phillies vs. Twins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Twins picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Twins Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, July 22nd, 2024
• Game Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Target Field
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Twins +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -115 / Twins +100
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-102/-118)

Twins +1.5 @ -170 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Twins have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 37%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -170.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -118.
• Our analysis shows a 54% likelihood of the 8.5-run total staying under.

Phillies vs. Twins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Minnesota Twins are available at +100 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Twins are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 50% chance of prevailing.

With both teams projected to have a 50% chance of winning, it's the moneyline odds for the Twins that present the best value. BetMGM's +100 odds, providing an edge of 0%, make this our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Twins

Here are the best MLB player props for Monday's Phillies vs. Twins game.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-145)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.2%, providing an edge of 10.0% over the -145 odds offered by BetMGM.

Minnesota Twins Prediction - Bailey Ober Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-102)

• Our best prop bet for the Twins is on Bailey Ober to have under 5.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 57.9%, providing an edge of 7.4% on the -102 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Twins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Twins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Johan Rojas to Record an RBI

Johan Rojas has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 11 appearances (36% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +295 (25% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Bryce Harper to Record an RBI

Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 17 games (47%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +155 (39%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Johan Rojas of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Twins +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Phillies vs. Twins predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.