Phillies vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 13th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will meet the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Thursday at Fenway Park, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Phillies vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Red Sox have a 52% chance of defeating the Phillies.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Phillies vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Phillies vs. Red Sox picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Phillies vs. Red Sox Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, June 13th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Fenway Park
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Red Sox +1.5
- Moneyline: Phillies -108 / Red Sox -108
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-105/-110)
Red Sox +1.5 @ -175 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 36%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -175 for the Red Sox +1.5, providing a favorable 0% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis shows a 51% likelihood of the 8.5-run total going over.
Phillies vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds
Philadelphia Phillies | Boston Red Sox |
---|---|
-108 via DraftKings Sportsbook | -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook |
The Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 52% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Red Sox present the best betting value, with odds of -108 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Red Sox
Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Phillies vs. Red Sox game.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Aaron Nola Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-150)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Aaron Nola Under 18.5 Outs | BetMGM | Get Offer | -150 |
- Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Aaron Nola to record under 18.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.5%, giving us an edge of 16.5% on the -150 odds offered by BetMGM.
Boston Red Sox Prediction - Tanner Houck Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (+105)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Tanner Houck Under 5.5 Hits Allowed | BetMGM | Get Offer | +105 |
- Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Tanner Houck to have under 5.5 hits allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 69.2%, providing an edge of 20.5% on the +105 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Phillies vs. Red Sox Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Reese McGuire to Record an RBI
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Reese McGuire to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +275 |
Reese McGuire has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +275 (27% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Rafael Devers to Record a Hit
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Rafael Devers to Record a Hit | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -225 |
Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in 8 of his last 10 games (80%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -225 (69%), also available at DraftKings.
Masataka Yoshida to Record a Hit
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Masataka Yoshida to Record a Hit | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -225 |
Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 25 appearances (68%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -210 (68%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tanner Houck of the Red Sox to record under 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 20.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Red Sox +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Phillies vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.