Phillies vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 11th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will meet the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Tuesday at Fenway Park, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Phillies vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Phillies have a 55% chance of defeating the Red Sox.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Phillies vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Phillies vs. Red Sox picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Phillies vs. Red Sox Game Information
- Game Date: Tuesday, June 11th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Fenway Park
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Red Sox +1.5
- Moneyline: Phillies -155 / Red Sox +132
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-105/-115)
Red Sox +1.5 @ -120 via DraftKings Sportsbook
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Red Sox +1.5 | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -120 |
- According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 43%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -120 for the Red Sox +1.5, presenting a favorable 2.2% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8 @ -105 via BetMGM
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Over 8 | BetMGM | Get Offer | -105 |
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis shows a 52% chance of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.5%.
Phillies vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds
Philadelphia Phillies | Boston Red Sox |
---|---|
-155 via BetMGM | +132 via FanDuel Sportsbook |
The Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 55% chance of prevailing.
Although the Phillies are favored to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +132 odds on the Red Sox moneyline, providing an edge of 1.7%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Red Sox
Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Phillies vs. Red Sox game.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Zack Wheeler Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-150)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Zack Wheeler Under 18.5 Outs | BetMGM | Get Offer | -150 |
- Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Zack Wheeler to record under 18.5 outs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 72.3%, providing an edge of 12.3% on the -150 odds offered by BetMGM.
Boston Red Sox Prediction - Kutter Crawford Under 17.5 Outs (-120)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Kutter Crawford Under 17.5 Outs | BetMGM | Get Offer | -120 |
- Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Kutter Crawford to have under 17.5 outs.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 78.0%, providing an edge of 23.4% on the -120 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Phillies vs. Red Sox Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Johan Rojas to Record an RBI
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Johan Rojas to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +285 |
Johan Rojas has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +285 (26% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Dominic Smith to Record an RBI
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Dominic Smith to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +255 |
Dominic Smith has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 11 appearances (55%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +255 (28%), also available at DraftKings.
Enmanuel Valdez to Record an RBI
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Enmanuel Valdez to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +255 |
Enmanuel Valdez has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +255 (28%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kutter Crawford of the Red Sox to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 23.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Red Sox +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Phillies vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.