Phillies vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 21st Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will host the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Sunday at PNC Park, starting at 1:35 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Phillies vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 52% chance of beating the Pirates.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Pirates picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, July 21st, 2024
• Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -122 / Pirates +105
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-120/+100)

Pirates +1.5 @ -155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -155.

Total Runs Under 9 @ +100 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at +100.
• Our analysis suggests a 51% likelihood that the total will stay under 9 runs, providing an edge of 1%.

Phillies vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -122 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at +105 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +105 odds on the Pirates moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Pirates

Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Phillies vs. Pirates matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-185)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.3%, providing an edge of 9.4% on the -185 odds offered by DraftKings.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Joey Bart To Get a Hit (-120)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Joey Bart to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 67.3%, giving us an edge of 12.8% on the -120 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Johan Rojas to Record an RBI

Johan Rojas has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 11 games (36% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +235 (30% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Joey Bart of the Pirates to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Phillies vs. Pirates predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.