Phillies vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 20th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will meet the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Saturday at PNC Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Phillies vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Phillies have a 59% chance of beating the Pirates.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, July 20th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -162 / Pirates +145
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-118/+100)

Pirates +1.5 @ -110 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 46%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -110 for the Pirates +1.5, providing a favorable 1.7% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ +100 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at +100.
• Our analysis shows a slightly higher likelihood of the 8.5-run total staying under, which presents greater value compared to betting on the over.

Phillies vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -162 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at +145 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +145 odds on the Pirates moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Pirates

Here are the top MLB player props for Saturday's Phillies vs. Pirates game.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-165)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.6%, giving us an edge of 12.3% the -165 odds offered by BetMGM.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Jack Suwinski To Get an RBI (+350)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Jack Suwinski to get an RBI.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 36.0%, giving us an edge of 13.8% on the +350 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Phillies vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Oneil Cruz to Record an RBI

Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 10 appearances (60% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +220 (31% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Rowdy Tellez to Record an RBI

Rowdy Tellez has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +290 (26%), also available at DraftKings.

Josh Palacios to Hit a Home Run

Josh Palacios has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 20 appearances (20%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +1100 (8%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jack Suwinski of the Pirates to get an RBI as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Phillies vs. Pirates predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.