Phillies vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 19th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will meet the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Friday at PNC Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Phillies vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Phillies have a 58% chance of defeating the Pirates.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Pirates picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 19th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -170 / Pirates +146
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-115/-102)

Pirates +1.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 45%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -115 for the Pirates +1.5, providing a favorable 1.9% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis suggests a 54% likelihood that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 0.2%.

Phillies vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -170 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at +146 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 58% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +146 odds on the Pirates moneyline, providing an edge of 1.3%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Pirates

Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Phillies vs. Pirates game.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (+110)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Aaron Nola to record over 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 57.0%, giving us an edge of 9.4% the +110 odds offered by BetMGM.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Joey Bart To Get a Hit (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Joey Bart to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 60.4%, giving us an edge of 8.0% on the -110 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Phillies vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Brandon Marsh to Hit a Home Run

Brandon Marsh has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 appearances (20% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +600 (14% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Aaron Nola of the Phillies to record over 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 9.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Phillies vs. Pirates predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.