Phillies vs. Nationals Picks & Best Bets 29th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Washington Nationals will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Sunday at Nationals Park, starting at 3:05 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Phillies vs. Nationals bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 59% chance of beating the Nationals.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Phillies vs. Nationals picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 29th, 2024
- Game Time: 3:05 p.m. ET
- Location: Nationals Park
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Nationals +1.5
- Moneyline: Phillies -140 / Nationals +120
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-108/-110)
Phillies -1.5 @ +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Phillies have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 47%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of +120 for the Phillies -1.5, providing a favorable 1.5% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -108.
- Our analysis suggests a 61% likelihood that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 9.5%.
Phillies vs. Nationals Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -140 via BetMGM, whilst the Washington Nationals are available at +120 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of victory.
Additionally, the Phillies present the best betting value, with the odds of -140 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 0.9%.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Garrett Stubbs To Get a Hit (-125)
- Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Garrett Stubbs to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.3%, giving us an edge of 13.7% on the -125 odds offered by BetMGM.
Washington Nationals Prediction - Garrett Stubbs To Get a Hit (-125)
- Our best prop bet for the Nationals is on Garrett Stubbs to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 69.3%, giving us an edge of 13.7% on the -125 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Phillies vs. Nationals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Nick Castellanos to Hit a Home Run
Nick Castellanos has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 11 games (27% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +650 (13% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Juan Yepez to Hit a Home Run
Juan Yepez has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 22 appearances (14%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +850 (11%), also available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Garrett Stubbs of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Phillies -1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Phillies vs. Nationals predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.
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