Phillies vs. Nationals Picks & Best Bets 28th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Washington Nationals will host the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Saturday at Nationals Park, beginning at 4:05 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Phillies vs. Nationals bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Phillies have a 61% chance of defeating the Nationals.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Phillies vs. Nationals picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, September 28th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Location: Nationals Park
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Nationals +1.5
- Moneyline: Phillies -205 / Nationals +176
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-105/-108)
Nationals +1.5 @ +105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Nationals have a 51% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers odds of +105 for the Nationals +1.5, presenting a favorable 2.6% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis shows a 56% probability that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 4.7%.
Phillies vs. Nationals Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -205 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Washington Nationals are available at +176 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 61% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +176 odds on the Nationals moneyline, providing an edge of 2.5%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - MacKenzie Gore Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+140)
- Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on MacKenzie Gore to record under 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 55.4%, providing an edge of 13.8% on the +140 odds offered by BetMGM.
Washington Nationals Prediction - MacKenzie Gore Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+140)
- Our best prop bet for the Nationals is on MacKenzie Gore to have under 1.5 walks allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 55.4%, providing an edge of 13.8% on the +140 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Phillies vs. Nationals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Brandon Marsh to Record a Hit
Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 20 games (70% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -120 (55% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing MacKenzie Gore of the Phillies to record under 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Nationals +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Phillies vs. Nationals predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.
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