Phillies vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 22nd Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Sunday at Citi Field, starting at 7:15 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Phillies vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 53% chance of defeating the Mets.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Phillies vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, September 22nd, 2024
• Game Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Mets +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -140 / Mets +120
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7 Runs (+100/-110)

Mets +1.5 @ -148 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 39%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -148 for the Mets +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.3% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7 @ +100 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at +100.
• Our analysis indicates a 57% probability that the total will go over 7 runs, providing an edge of 7.1%.

Phillies vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -140 via BetMGM, whilst the New York Mets are available at +120 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of victory.

Although the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +120 odds on the Mets moneyline, providing an edge of 1.3%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-105)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 62.6%, giving us an edge of 11.3% on the -105 odds offered by DraftKings.

New York Mets Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-105)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.6%, giving us an edge of 11.3% on the -105 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Brandon Nimmo to Hit a Home Run

Brandon Nimmo has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 10 games (30% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +650 (13% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Johan Rojas of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Phillies vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.