Phillies vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 21st Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New York Mets will host the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Saturday at Citi Field, beginning at 4:10 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Phillies vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 57% chance of defeating the Phillies.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Phillies vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Phillies vs. Mets picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Phillies vs. Mets Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, September 21st, 2024
- Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Citi Field
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Mets +1.5
- Moneyline: Phillies +102 / Mets -115
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+100/-115)
Mets +1.5 @ -200 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Mets have a 68% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 32%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -200 for the Mets +1.5, providing a favorable 1.8% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ +100 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at +100.
- Our analysis suggests a 54% likelihood that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 3.8%.
Phillies vs. Mets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at +102 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -115 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 57% chance of prevailing.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Mets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -115 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 3.1%.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Luisangel Acuna To Get a Hit (-140)
- Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Luisangel Acuna to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.6%, giving us an edge of 12.3% on the -140 odds offered by DraftKings.
New York Mets Prediction - Luisangel Acuna To Get a Hit (-140)
- Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Luisangel Acuna to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.6%, providing an edge of 12.3% on the -140 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Phillies vs. Mets Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Brandon Nimmo to Hit a Home Run
Brandon Nimmo has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 10 games (30% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luisangel Acuna of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Mets +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Phillies vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.