Phillies vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 20th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Friday at Citi Field, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Phillies vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Mets have a 55% chance of defeating the Phillies.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Phillies vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, September 20th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Mets +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -105 / Mets -105
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-102/-115)

Mets +1.5 @ -178 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 68% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 32%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -178 for the Mets +1.5, presenting a favorable 3.8% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -102.
• Our analysis shows a 53% chance of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 2.3%.

Phillies vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -105 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 55% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Mets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -105 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 4.3%.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Pete Alonso To Get a HR (+525)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Pete Alonso to hit a home run.
• Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 21.6% of going yard, providing an edge of 5.6% on the +525 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - Pete Alonso To Get a HR (+525)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Pete Alonso to hit a home run.
• According to our analysis, there is a probability of 21.6% that he will go yard, giving us an edge of 5.6% on the +525 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Phillies vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Brandon Nimmo to Hit a Home Run

Brandon Nimmo has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +950 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Brandon Nimmo to Record a Hit

Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 13 games (77%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -220 (69%), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Pete Alonso of the Phillies to hit a home run as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Phillies vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.