Phillies vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 19th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Thursday at Citi Field, starting at 7:15 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Phillies vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 58% chance of beating the Phillies.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Phillies vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Mets picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, September 19th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Phillies +1.5 / Mets -1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies +120 / Mets -140
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-115/-102)

Mets -1.5 @ +155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers odds of +155 for the Mets -1.5, presenting a favorable 0.8% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis suggests a 58% probability that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 4.7%.

Phillies vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -140 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 58% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Mets present the best betting value, with the odds of -140 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 0.1%.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Nick Castellanos To Get a HR (+675)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Nick Castellanos to hit a home run.
• Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 13.0% of going yard, providing an edge of 0.1% on the +675 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - Pete Alonso To Get a HR (+340)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Pete Alonso to hit a home run.
• According to our analysis, there is a probability of 24.1% that he will go yard, providing an edge of 1.4% on the +340 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Johan Rojas to Record a Hit

Johan Rojas has recorded at least one hit in 6 of his last 11 games (55% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of -120 (55% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Pete Alonso of the Mets to hit a home run as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mets -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Phillies vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.