Phillies vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets 6th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Miami Marlins will meet the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Friday at loanDepot park, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Phillies vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 64% chance of beating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Marlins picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, September 6th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: loanDepot park
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -275 / Marlins +235
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+100/-106)

Marlins +1.5 @ +136 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 51% chance of covering the run line, while the Marlins have a probability of 49%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of +136 for the Marlins +1.5, presenting a favorable 6.7% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 7.5 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -106.
• Our analysis shows a 51% likelihood that the total will stay under 7.5 runs.

Phillies vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -275 via BetMGM, whilst the Miami Marlins are available at +235 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 64% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +235 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 6%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Brandon Marsh To Get a Hit (-165)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Brandon Marsh to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.0%, providing an edge of 13.7% on the -165 odds offered by DraftKings.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Edward Cabrera Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-140)

• Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Edward Cabrera to have under 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.1%, giving us an edge of 13.8% on the -140 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Nick Castellanos to Hit a Home Run

Nick Castellanos has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 11 appearances (27% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +750 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Jhonny Pereda to Record an RBI

Jhonny Pereda has recorded at least one RBI in 2 of his last 10 games (20%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +425 (19%), available at DraftKings.

Bryce Harper to Record a Hit

Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 14 appearances (71%). You can wager on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -245 (71%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Edward Cabrera of the Marlins to record under 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Phillies vs. Marlins predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.