Phillies vs. Marlins Picks & Best Bets 5th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Miami Marlins will face the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Thursday at loanDepot park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Phillies vs. Marlins bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 65% chance of defeating the Marlins.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Marlins picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, September 5th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: loanDepot park
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Marlins +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -225 / Marlins +194
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-120/+100)

Marlins +1.5 @ +124 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Marlins have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Marlins have a probability of 47%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of +124 for the Marlins +1.5, providing a favorable 2% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -120 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -120.
• Our analysis suggests a 54% likelihood that the total will go over 8 runs.

Phillies vs. Marlins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -225 via BetMGM, whilst the Miami Marlins are available at +194 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 65% chance of victory.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +194 odds on the Marlins moneyline, providing an edge of 1.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Marlins

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Phillies vs. Marlins matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-150)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 72.5%, giving us an edge of 12.5% on the -150 odds offered by BetMGM.

Miami Marlins Prediction - Adam Oller Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-170)

• Our best prop bet for the Marlins is on Adam Oller to have under 5.5 hits allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.7%, providing an edge of 8.8% on the -170 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Marlins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

David Hensley to Record an RBI

David Hensley has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +255 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

David Hensley to Hit a Home Run

David Hensley has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 games (10%). You can place a bet on him to hit another one at odds of +1200 (8%), available at Bet365.

Edmundo Sosa to Hit a Home Run

Edmundo Sosa has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 18 appearances (11%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +850 (11%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Johan Rojas of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Marlins +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Phillies vs. Marlins predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.