Phillies vs. Mariners Picks & Best Bets 4th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Seattle Mariners will meet the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Sunday at T-Mobile Park, beginning at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Phillies vs. Mariners bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 54% chance of beating the Mariners.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Phillies vs. Mariners Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Mariners picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Mariners Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, August 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: T-Mobile Park
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Mariners +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -125 / Mariners +108
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7 Runs (-112/-105)

Phillies -1.5 @ +145 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Phillies have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +145.

Total Runs Over 7 @ -112 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -112.
• Our analysis shows a 55% chance that the total will go over 7 runs, providing an edge of 2.3%.

Phillies vs. Mariners Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -125 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Seattle Mariners are available at +108 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 54% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Phillies also present the best betting value, with the odds of -125 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Mariners

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Phillies vs. Mariners game.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Zack Wheeler Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-115)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Zack Wheeler to record under 7.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 64.4%, giving us an edge of 10.9% on the -115 odds offered by BetMGM.

Seattle Mariners Prediction - Logan Gilbert Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-120)

• Our best prop bet for the Mariners is on Logan Gilbert to have under 6.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 66.0%, providing an edge of 11.5% on the -120 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Mariners Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Mariners trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Brandon Marsh to Record an RBI

Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +260 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Nick Castellanos to Record an RBI

Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 16 games (44%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +230 (30%), also available at DraftKings.

Cal Raleigh to Record a Hit

Cal Raleigh has recorded at least one hit in 7 of his last 11 games (64%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -145 (59%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Logan Gilbert of the Mariners to record under 6.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 11.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Phillies -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Phillies vs. Mariners predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.