Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Best Bets 8th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks will face the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Thursday at Chase Field, beginning at 9:40 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Phillies vs. Diamondbacks bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Diamondbacks have a 55% chance of beating the Phillies.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Phillies vs. Diamondbacks picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, August 8th, 2024
- Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Field
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Diamondbacks +1.5
- Moneyline: Phillies +110 / Diamondbacks -120
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 10.5 Runs (-102/-115)
Phillies -1.5 @ +155 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Phillies have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 45%.
- BetMGM offers odds of +155 for the Phillies -1.5, providing a favorable 5.9% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Under 10.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 10.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -115.
- Our analysis shows a 55% chance of the 10.5-run total staying under, providing an edge of 1.1%.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Arizona Diamondbacks are available at -120 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Diamondbacks are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 55% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Diamondbacks present the best betting value, with the odds of -120 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.2%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks
Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Phillies vs. Diamondbacks game.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Kolby Allard Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-130)
- Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Kolby Allard to record over 2.5 strikeouts.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.2%, providing an edge of 12.7% over the -130 odds offered by BetMGM.
Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Jordan Montgomery Under 3.5 Earned Runs (-160)
- Our best prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Jordan Montgomery to have under 3.5 earned runs.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 75.2%, providing an edge of 13.6% on the -160 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Diamondbacks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Geraldo Perdomo to Record an RBI
Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 11 games (64% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +225 (31% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Eugenio Suárez to Record a Hit
Eugenio Suárez has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 10 games (90%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -195 (66%), also available at DraftKings.
Corbin Carroll to Record a Hit
Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 14 appearances (86%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -270 (73%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jordan Montgomery of the D-Backs to record under 3.5 earned runs, with an edge of 13.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Phillies -1.5 to cover.
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