Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Best Bets 11th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks will meet the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Sunday at Chase Field, beginning at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Phillies vs. Diamondbacks bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Phillies have a 53% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Diamondbacks picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, August 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Chase Field
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Diamondbacks +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -126 / Diamondbacks +110
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-118/-102)

Diamondbacks +1.5 @ -154 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Diamondbacks have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 40%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -154.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -118.
• Our analysis shows a 57% chance of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 3.3%.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -126 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Arizona Diamondbacks are available at +110 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 53% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +110 odds on the Diamondbacks moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Brandon Marsh To Get a Hit (-145)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Brandon Marsh to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 66.9%, providing an edge of 7.7% over the -145 odds offered by BetMGM.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Jake McCarthy To Get an RBI (+230)

• Our best prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Jake McCarthy to get an RBI.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 38.8%, providing an edge of 8.5% on the +230 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Diamondbacks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Corbin Carroll to Hit a Home Run

Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 14 games (29% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +1400 (7% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Eugenio Suárez to Record a Hit

Eugenio Suárez has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances (92%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -180 (64%), also available at DraftKings.

Jake McCarthy to Hit a Home Run

Jake McCarthy has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 appearances (20%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +1800 (5%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jake McCarthy of the D-Backs to get an RBI as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Diamondbacks +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Phillies vs. Diamondbacks predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.