Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Best Bets 10th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Saturday at Chase Field, beginning at 8:10 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Phillies vs. Diamondbacks bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Diamondbacks have a 52% chance of beating the Phillies.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Phillies vs. Diamondbacks picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, August 10th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Field
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Diamondbacks +1.5
- Moneyline: Phillies +102 / Diamondbacks -116
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (+100/-110)
Phillies -1.5 @ +165 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Phillies have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 37%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +165.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ +100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at +100.
- Our analysis suggests a 54% probability that the total will go over 8.5 runs, providing an edge of 4%.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at +102 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Arizona Diamondbacks are available at -116 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Diamondbacks are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of victory.
Additionally, the Diamondbacks present the best betting value, with the odds of -116 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks
Here are the top MLB player props for Saturday's Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Aaron Nola Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+130)
- Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Aaron Nola to record under 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 53.0%, providing an edge of 9.5% the +130 odds offered by DraftKings.
Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Jose Herrera To Get a Hit (-105)
- Our best prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Jose Herrera to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 63.9%, giving us an edge of 12.7% on the -105 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Phillies vs. Diamondbacks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Johan Rojas to Hit a Home Run
Johan Rojas has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 15 games (7% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +1500 (6% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Nick Castellanos to Hit a Home Run
Nick Castellanos has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 22 appearances (14%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +700 (12%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jose Herrera of the D-Backs to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Phillies -1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Phillies vs. Diamondbacks predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.