Phillies vs. Cubs Picks & Best Bets 4th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Chicago Cubs will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Thursday at Wrigley Field, starting at 2:20 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Phillies vs. Cubs bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 53% chance of beating the Cubs.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Cubs picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Cubs Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, July 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
• Location: Wrigley Field
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Cubs +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -126 / Cubs +114
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-115/-105)

Cubs +1.5 @ -155 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Cubs have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 40%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -155.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis shows a 52% chance of the 7.5-run total going over.

Phillies vs. Cubs Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -126 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Chicago Cubs are available at +114 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +114 odds on the Cubs moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Cubs

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Phillies vs. Cubs matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Cristopher Sanchez Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-190)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Cristopher Sanchez to record under 18.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.9%, providing an edge of 5.4% over the -190 odds offered by BetMGM.

Chicago Cubs Prediction - Jameson Taillon Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+106)

• Our best prop bet for the Cubs is on Jameson Taillon to have under 4.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 60.5%, providing an edge of 12.0% on the +106 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Cubs trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Johan Rojas to Record an RBI

Johan Rojas has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 18 games (28% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +290 (26% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jameson Taillon of the Cubs to record under 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 12% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Cubs +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Phillies vs. Cubs predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.