Phillies vs. Cubs Picks & Best Bets 2nd Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Chicago Cubs will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Tuesday at Wrigley Field, starting at 8:05 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Phillies vs. Cubs bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Cubs have a 52% chance of defeating the Phillies.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Phillies vs. Cubs picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Phillies vs. Cubs Game Information
- Game Date: Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024
- Game Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
- Location: Wrigley Field
- Run Line: Phillies +1.5 / Cubs -1.5
- Moneyline: Phillies +105 / Cubs -122
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (+100/-118)
Phillies +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Phillies have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Cubs have a probability of 36%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -175 for the Phillies +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.3% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Under 9.5 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -118.
- Our analysis indicates a 55% probability that the total will stay under 9.5 runs, providing an edge of 1.2%.
Phillies vs. Cubs Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at +105 via BetMGM, whilst the Chicago Cubs are available at -122 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Cubs are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 52% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Cubs also present the best betting value, with the odds of -122 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Cubs
Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Phillies vs. Cubs matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Michael Mercado Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+120)
- Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Michael Mercado to record over 2.5 earned runs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 59.1%, providing an edge of 13.6% over the +120 odds offered by BetMGM.
Chicago Cubs Prediction - Miguel Amaya To Get a Hit (-130)
- Our best prop bet for the Cubs is on Miguel Amaya to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 60.0%, providing an edge of 3.5% on the -130 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Phillies vs. Cubs trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Johan Rojas to Record an RBI
Johan Rojas has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 16 appearances (31% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +295 (25% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Rafael Marchan to Record an RBI
Rafael Marchan has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +280 (26%), also available at DraftKings.
Michael Busch to Record an RBI
Michael Busch has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 14 games (36%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +220 (31%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Michael Mercado of the Phillies to record over 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 13.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Phillies +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Phillies vs. Cubs predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.