Phillies vs. Brewers Picks & Best Bets 16th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Monday at American Family Field, beginning at 7:40 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Phillies vs. Brewers bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 53% chance of defeating the Brewers.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Phillies vs. Brewers Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Brewers picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Brewers Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, September 16th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
• Location: American Family Field
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Brewers +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -106 / Brewers -108
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-110/-105)

Phillies -1.5 @ +158 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Phillies have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 41%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of +158 for the Phillies -1.5, presenting a favorable 2% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
• Our analysis suggests a 53% likelihood that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 0.5%.

Phillies vs. Brewers Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Milwaukee Brewers are available at -108 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of victory.

Additionally, the Phillies present the best betting value, with the odds of -106 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 1.7%.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-135)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.3%, providing an edge of 12.9% on the -135 odds offered by DraftKings.

Milwaukee Brewers Prediction - Aaron Civale Under 16.5 Outs (-115)

• Our best prop bet for the Brewers is on Aaron Civale to have under 16.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 67.1%, giving us an edge of 13.7% on the -115 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Brewers Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Phillies vs. Brewers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Brandon Marsh to Hit a Home Run

Brandon Marsh has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 17 appearances (18% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +650 (13% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Aaron Civale of the Brewers to record under 16.5 outs, with an edge of 13.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Phillies -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Phillies vs. Brewers predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.