Phillies vs. Braves Picks & Best Bets 5th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Atlanta Braves will meet the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Friday at Truist Park, starting at 7:20 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Phillies vs. Braves bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Braves have a 57% chance of beating the Phillies.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Phillies vs. Braves Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Phillies vs. Braves picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Phillies vs. Braves Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, July 5th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Truist Park
- Run Line: Phillies +1.5 / Braves -1.5
- Moneyline: Phillies +120 / Braves -135
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-102/-110)
Braves -1.5 @ +154 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Braves have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Braves have a probability of 39%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +154.
Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -102.
- Our analysis shows a 55% likelihood of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 4.4%.
Phillies vs. Braves Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at +120 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Atlanta Braves are available at -135 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Braves are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 57% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Braves also present the best betting value, with the odds of -135 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Braves
Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Phillies vs. Braves game.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Whit Merrifield To Get a Hit (-210)
- Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Whit Merrifield to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.8%, giving us an edge of 1.0% over the -210 odds offered by BetMGM.
Atlanta Braves Prediction - Ozzie Albies To Get an RBI (+210)
- Our best prop bet for the Braves is on Ozzie Albies to get an RBI.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 34.8%, giving us an edge of 2.6% on the +210 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Phillies vs. Braves Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Phillies vs. Braves trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jarred Kelenic to Record a Hit
Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 20 appearances (80% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -200 (67% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Eli White to Record a Hit
Eli White has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 20 appearances (60%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of +110 (48%), also available at DraftKings.
Austin Riley to Record an RBI
Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 games (50%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +180 (36%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ozzie Albies of the Braves to get an RBI as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Braves -1.5 to cover.
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