Phillies vs. Braves Picks & Best Bets 21st Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Atlanta Braves will host the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action on Wednesday at Truist Park, starting at 7:20 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Phillies vs. Braves bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Braves have a 54% chance of beating the Phillies.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Phillies vs. Braves Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Phillies vs. Braves picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Phillies vs. Braves Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, August 21st, 2024
• Game Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
• Location: Truist Park
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 / Braves +1.5
• Moneyline: Phillies -104 / Braves -105
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-115/-105)

Braves +1.5 @ -182 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Braves have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 34%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -182 for the Braves +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.2% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis shows a 55% likelihood of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 1.9%.

Phillies vs. Braves Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Philadelphia Phillies at -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Atlanta Braves are available at -105 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Braves are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 54% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Braves also present the best betting value, with the odds of -105 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 2.5%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Phillies vs. Braves

Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Phillies vs. Braves game.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-145)

• Our top prop bet for the Phillies is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.2%, providing an edge of 6.0% over the -145 odds offered by DraftKings.

Atlanta Braves Prediction - Max Fried Under 17.5 Outs (+140)

• Our best prop bet for the Braves is on Max Fried to have under 17.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 53.9%, providing an edge of 12.2% on the +140 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Phillies vs. Braves Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Phillies vs. Braves trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Orlando Arcia to Hit a Home Run

Orlando Arcia has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 22 appearances (18% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +850 (11% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Max Fried of the Braves to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 12.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Braves +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Phillies vs. Braves predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.