Padres vs. Reds Picks & Best Bets: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Cincinnati Reds will face the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Tuesday at Great American Ball Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Padres vs. Reds bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that this matchup could go down to the wire, with both the Padres and Reds given a 50% chance of winning.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Padres vs. Reds Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Padres vs. Reds picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Padres vs. Reds Game Information
- Game Date: Tuesday, May 21st, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Great American Ball Park
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Reds +1.5
- Moneyline: Padres -120 / Reds +104
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (-102/-120)
Reds +1.5 @ -154 via FanDuel Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Reds +1.5 | FanDuel Sportsbook | -154 |
- According to our simulations, the Reds have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 38%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -154 for the Reds +1.5, providing a favorable 1.2% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Under 9.5 @ -120 via FanDuel Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 | FanDuel Sportsbook | -120 |
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -120.
- Our analysis indicates a 57% likelihood of the 9.5-run total staying under, providing an edge of 2.9%.
Padres vs. Reds Moneyline Odds
| San Diego Padres | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|
| -120 via BetMGM | +104 via FanDuel Sportsbook |
The Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 50% chance of victory.
With both teams projected to have a 50% chance of winning, it's the moneyline odds for the Reds that present the best value. FanDuel Sportsbook's +104 odds, providing an edge of 0.6%, make this our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Reds
Here are the top MLB player props for Tuesday's Padres vs. Reds game.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Jackson Merrill To Get a Hit (-200)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill To Get a Hit | BetMGM | -200 |
- Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Jackson Merrill to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 77.1%, providing an edge of 10.4% over the -200 odds offered by BetMGM.
Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Andrew Abbott Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+135)
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott Over 4.5 Strikeouts | DraftKings Sportsbook | +135 |
- Our best prop bet for the Reds is on Andrew Abbott to have over 4.5 strikeouts.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 55.4%, providing an edge of 12.8% on the +135 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Padres vs. Reds Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Reds trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jeimer Candelario to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +155 |
Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 12 games (42% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +155 (39% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Luis Arraez to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | +215 |
Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 17 games (35%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +215 (32%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Andrew Abbott of the Reds to record over 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 12.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Reds +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Padres vs. Reds predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.
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