Padres vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 30th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will host the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Sunday at Fenway Park, starting at 1:35 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Padres vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Red Sox have a 51% chance of beating the Padres.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Padres vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Red Sox picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Padres vs. Red Sox Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, June 30th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: Fenway Park
• Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Red Sox +1.5
• Moneyline: Padres -104 / Red Sox -112
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 10 Runs (-110/-105)

Red Sox +1.5 @ -164 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 38%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -164 for the Red Sox +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.1% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 10 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 10, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -105.
• Our analysis suggests a slightly higher probability of the 10-run total staying under, which presents greater value compared to betting on the over.

Padres vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at -112 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 51% chance of coming out on top.

Although the Red Sox are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers -104 odds on the Padres moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Red Sox

Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Padres vs. Red Sox game.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Matt Waldron Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+114)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Matt Waldron to record over 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.4%, giving us an edge of 11.6% the +114 odds offered by FanDuel.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Reese McGuire To Get a Hit (-155)

• Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Reese McGuire to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 74.8%, giving us an edge of 14.0% on the -155 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Red Sox Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Connor Wong to Record an RBI

Connor Wong has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 10 games (60% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +205 (33% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Kyle Higashioka to Record an RBI

Kyle Higashioka has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 14 games (57%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +165 (38%), also available at DraftKings.

Jurickson Profar to Record an RBI

Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 12 games (50%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +165 (38%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Reese McGuire of the Red Sox to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Red Sox +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.