Padres vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 29th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Saturday at Fenway Park, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Padres vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Red Sox have a 53% chance of defeating the Padres.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Padres vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Red Sox picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Padres vs. Red Sox Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, June 29th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Fenway Park
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Red Sox -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +120 / Red Sox -135
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-114/-105)

Padres +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Red Sox have a probability of 35%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -175 for the Padres +1.5, providing a favorable 0.9% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -114.
• Our analysis shows a 52% chance of the 8.5-run total going over.

Padres vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at -135 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 53% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Red Sox are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +120 odds on the Padres moneyline, providing an edge of 1.3%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Red Sox

Here are the top MLB player props for Saturday's Padres vs. Red Sox game.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Kyle Higashioka To Get a HR (+950)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Kyle Higashioka to hit a home run.
• Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 21.9% of going yard, providing an edge of 12.4% the +950 odds offered by BetMGM.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Tanner Houck Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+104)

• Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Tanner Houck to have over 4.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 61.0%, giving us an edge of 12.0% on the +104 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Red Sox Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Rafael Devers to Record an RBI

Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 11 games (64% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +135 (43% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jake Cronenworth to Record an RBI

Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 games (50%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +180 (36%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kyle Higashioka of the Padres to hit a home run as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.