Padres vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 28th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Friday at Fenway Park, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Padres vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Red Sox have a 56% chance of defeating the Padres.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Padres vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Red Sox picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Red Sox Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, June 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Fenway Park
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Red Sox -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +136 / Red Sox -150
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (-102/-118)

Padres +1.5 @ -148 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Red Sox have a probability of 39%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -148 for the Padres +1.5, providing a favorable 1% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9.5 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -118.
• Our analysis suggests a 53% chance of the 9.5-run total staying under.

Padres vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +136 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at -150 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 56% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Red Sox are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +136 odds on the Padres moneyline, providing an edge of 1.6%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Red Sox

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Padres vs. Red Sox game.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Randy Vasquez Under 3.5 Earned Runs (-135)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Randy Vasquez to record under 3.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.3%, providing an edge of 7.9% the -135 odds offered by DraftKings.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Nick Pivetta Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Nick Pivetta to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 60.8%, providing an edge of 8.4% on the -110 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Red Sox Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jurickson Profar to Record a Hit

Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 10 games (100% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of -225 (69% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Manny Machado to Record a Hit

Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 11 appearances (82%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -245 (71%), also available at DraftKings.

Enmanuel Valdez to Record an RBI

Enmanuel Valdez has recorded at least one RBI in 9 of his last 20 appearances (45%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +175 (36%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Nick Pivetta of the Red Sox to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 8.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.