Padres vs. Rangers Picks & Best Bets 4th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Texas Rangers will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Thursday at Globe Life Field, starting at 2:35 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Padres vs. Rangers bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Rangers have a 52% chance of defeating the Padres.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Padres vs. Rangers Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Rangers picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Rangers Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, July 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 2:35 p.m. ET
• Location: Globe Life Field
• Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Rangers +1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +100 / Rangers -115
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+100/-115)

Rangers +1.5 @ -198 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Rangers have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 34%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -198.

Total Runs Under 7.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis indicates a 52% chance that the total will stay under 7.5 runs.

Padres vs. Rangers Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +100 via BetMGM, whilst the Texas Rangers are available at -115 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Rangers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of victory.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Rangers also present the best betting value, with the odds of -115 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Rangers

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Padres vs. Rangers matchup.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Michael King Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-140)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Michael King to record under 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 61.1%, providing an edge of 2.7% the -140 odds offered by DraftKings.

Texas Rangers Prediction - Derek Hill To Get a Hit (-135)

• Our best prop bet for the Rangers is on Derek Hill to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 63.4%, giving us an edge of 6.0% on the -135 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Rangers Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Rangers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Derek Hill to Hit a Home Run

Derek Hill has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 games (20% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Nathaniel Lowe to Record a Hit

Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one hit in 7 of his last 10 games (70%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -220 (69%), also available at DraftKings.

Luis Arraez to Record an RBI

Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 12 games (33%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +215 (32%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Derek Hill of the Rangers to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Rangers +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Rangers predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.