Padres vs. Rangers Picks & Best Bets 3rd Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Texas Rangers will host the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Wednesday at Globe Life Field, beginning at 8:05 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Padres vs. Rangers bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Rangers have a 56% chance of beating the Padres.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Padres vs. Rangers Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Rangers picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Rangers Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, July 3rd, 2024
• Game Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
• Location: Globe Life Field
• Run Line: Padres +1.5 / Rangers -1.5
• Moneyline: Padres +124 / Rangers -138
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-112/-105)

Padres +1.5 @ -160 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Rangers have a probability of 38%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -160 for the Padres +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.6% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
• Our analysis suggests a 52% probability of the 9-run total staying under, providing an edge of 0.8%.

Padres vs. Rangers Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at +124 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Texas Rangers are available at -138 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Rangers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of victory.

Even though the Rangers are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +124 odds on the Padres moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Rangers

Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Padres vs. Rangers game.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Adam Mazur Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+110)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Adam Mazur to record over 3.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 53.5%, providing an edge of 5.8% over the +110 odds offered by BetMGM.

Texas Rangers Prediction - Jon Gray Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+105)

• Our best prop bet for the Rangers is on Jon Gray to have over 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.3%, giving us an edge of 13.5% on the +105 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Rangers Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Rangers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jackson Merrill to Record an RBI

Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of his last 17 games (65% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +165 (38% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jurickson Profar to Record a Hit

Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 11 games (100%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -220 (69%), also available at DraftKings.

Derek Hill to Hit a Home Run

Derek Hill has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 games (20%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +750 (12%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jon Gray of the Rangers to record over 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 13.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Rangers predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online MLB betting sites.