Padres vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 8th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will host the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Thursday at PNC Park, beginning at 12:35 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to determine the best Padres vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Padres have a 54% chance of beating the Pirates.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Padres vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Padres vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, August 8th, 2024
• Game Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Padres -112 / Pirates -104
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-118/+100)

Padres -1.5 @ +146 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 42%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of +146 for the Padres -1.5, providing a favorable 1.2% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -118.
• Our analysis suggests a 54% probability that the total will go over 8.5 runs.

Padres vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -104 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 54% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Padres present the best betting value, with the odds of -112 available at DraftKings Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 0.9%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Pirates

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Padres vs. Pirates matchup.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Randy Vasquez Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+105)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Randy Vasquez to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.9%, giving us an edge of 10.2% over the +105 odds offered by DraftKings.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Luis Ortiz Under 16.5 Outs (-105)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Luis Ortiz to have under 16.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 60.8%, giving us an edge of 9.6% on the -105 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Padres vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jurickson Profar to Record an RBI

Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 13 appearances (54% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +200 (33% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Kyle Higashioka to Record an RBI

Kyle Higashioka has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +210 (32%), also available at DraftKings.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa to Record an RBI

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 18 games (39%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +220 (31%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Randy Vasquez of the Padres to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 10.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Padres -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Padres vs. Pirates predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.