Padres vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 7th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will host the San Diego Padres in MLB action on Wednesday at PNC Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Padres vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 60% chance of defeating the Pirates.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Padres vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Padres vs. Pirates picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Padres vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, August 7th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Padres -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Padres -158 / Pirates +140
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-114/-105)

Padres -1.5 @ +108 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 47%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +108.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -114.
• Our analysis suggests a 54% probability that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 0.3%.

Padres vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the San Diego Padres at -158 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at +140 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Padres also present the best betting value, with the odds of -158 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Padres vs. Pirates

Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Padres vs. Pirates matchup.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Michael King Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (+150)

• Our top prop bet for the Padres is on Michael King to record under 17.5 outs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 50.8%, giving us an edge of 10.8% over the +150 odds offered by DraftKings.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Marco Gonzales Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-106)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Marco Gonzales to have over 2.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 57.5%, giving us an edge of 6.0% on the -106 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Padres vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Padres vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jackson Merrill to Record an RBI

Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 12 games (67% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +200 (33% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jurickson Profar to Hit a Home Run

Jurickson Profar has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 12 appearances (33%). You can place a wager on him to hit another one at odds of +850 (11%), available at Bet365.

Andrew McCutchen to Record a Hit

Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 19 games (79%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -145 (59%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Michael King of the Padres to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 10.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Padres -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Padres vs. Pirates predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.